Market News: The European Central Bank will release the data of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) once a month from January 8 next year.Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Broadcom rose more than 18% at the beginning, Broadcom rose more than 18% at the beginning, and the total market value rose to $1 trillion. The company's Q4 profit exceeded expectations, and its AI revenue doubled and rose by 220% in the whole fiscal year.
Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.TSMC rose more than 4%, and its first factory in Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan, was close to mass production. TSM.US rose more than 4% at the beginning of the session to US$ 199.98. According to industry sources, TSMC is committed to integrating CoWoS and SiPh, and seeks to launch co-packaged optical devices (CPO) in 2026. In addition, Apple cooperates with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. It is also worth noting that it is reported that TSMC's first factory in Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan is close to mass production.CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.
The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell to an intraday low of 0.5%.Destiny Tech100(DXYZ), a closed-end fund associated with SpaceX, a space exploration company owned by Musk, once fell more than 10%, and the refresh date was as low as $65.28. On December 11th, the price of the fund rose to $77.35, which was 567.38% higher than the closing price on November 5th (the polling day of the US election).Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14